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Real Alan's Spin Guide



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Posted 07 July 2022 - 02:28 AM #1

Real Alan

Realism

Real Alan
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Corporeal Beast
Every kill you have a 1/476 chance to spin the wheel
(1/405 chance with drop booster)
 
Sigil Table
1elysian
2arcane
3arcane
4arcane
5spectral
6spectral
7spectral
 
 
 
Nightmare
Every kill each player on the team has a chance to spin on 2 different wheels 
1/97 chance to spin on the gear table (used to be 1/120)
1/487 chance to spin on the orb table (used to be 1/600)
 
Gear Table
1mace
2helm
3helm
4hauberk
5hauberk
6plateskirt
7plateskirt
8staff
9staff
10staff
 
Orb Table
1harmonized
2volatile
3eldritch
 
Tertiary Drops
1/1,626 - chance for jar (used to be 1/2,000)
 
Pet chance depends on team size (used to be 1/4,000)
Solo 1/650
Duo 1/1,300
Trio 1/1,951
4-man 1/2,601
5+ 1/3,252
 
Phosani's Nightmare
1/162 chance to spin on gear table (used to be 1/200)
1/813 chance to spin on orb table (used to be 1/1000)
1/162 chance for parasitic egg (used to be 1/200)
1/1,626 chance for jar (used to be 1/2,000)
1/1,138 chance for pet (used to be 1/4,000)
 
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Regular TOB
1/9.1 to land on unique table (0 deaths)
 
Regular TOB unique table
1scythe
2rapier
3rapier
4staff
5staff
6helm
7helm
8body
9body
10leg
11leg
12hilt
13hilt
14hilt
15hilt
16hilt
17hilt
18hilt
19hilt
 
Hard TOB
1/7.7 to land on unique table (0 deaths)
 
Hard TOB unique table
1scythe
2rapier
3rapier
4staff
5staff
6helm
7helm
8helm
9body
10body
11body
12leg
13leg
14leg
15hilt
16hilt
17hilt
18hilt
19hilt
 
 
Corrupted Gauntlet
 
Rewards: shards + normal loot rolls + enhanced weapon seed/pet roll + weapon seed/armour seed roll + clue roll
 
 
Normal Loot Table 
3 rolls (2 rolls in regular gauntlet) -> 100% junk
 
 
Rare Loot Table
1/200 to land on rare loot table
 
1enhanced weapon seed
2pet
 
 
Semi-rare Loot Table
1/25 to land on semi-rare loot table
 
1armour seed
2weapon seed
 
 
Clue Table
1/25 to get a bonus elite clue box
 
Under optimal circumstances, what are your odds of landing an enhanced weapon seed in the corrupted gauntlet? 
 
(Bonuses are additive)
 
+20% server bonus
+25% gauntlet bonus
+19% eternal donor bonus
----------------------------------
64% bonus -> 1.64
 
 
(1/400) x 1.64 = 1/243.9 -> ~1/244
 
 
Under optimal circumstances, your odds of landing an enhanced weapon seeds increases from 1/400 -> 1/244 
 
 
Without the +19% eternal donor bonus (45% bonus), your odds are still 1/275.9
 
Nex
1/35 chance to land on Nex Table (used to be 1/43)
 
Nex Table
1helm
2helm
3body
4body
5leg
6leg
7vambraces
8vambraces
9vambraces
10horn
11horn
12hilt
 
On average how many rolls would it take to get torva helm, body, and legs all at least once (Ironman style)?
 
Probability of 1st torva piece = 6/12
 
Probability of 2nd torva piece = 4/12 = 1/3
 
Probability of 3rd torva piece = 2/12 = 1/6
 
Expected rolls = 1 / probability of success
 
If probability of success = 1/2 -> Then expected rolls = 2 
 
If probability of success = 1/3 -> Then expected rolls = 3
 
If probability of success = 1/6 -> Then expected rolls = 6 
 
Expected rolls to obtain a torva set = 2+3+6 = 11 rolls 
 
11 roll (35 solo kills / roll ) = 385 solo kills
 
If 4 man team -> 1,540 nex kills 
 
 
 
On average how many rolls would it take to get any 3 torva pieces (Trading/Realism)?
 
Probability of 1st torva piece = 6/12 = 1/2
 
Probability of 2nd any torva piece = 6/12 = 1/2
 
Probability of 3rd any torva piece = 6/12 = 1/2
 
If probability of success = 1/2 -> Then expected rolls = 2 
 
Expected rolls to obtain any 3 torva pieces = 2+2+2 = 6 rolls
 
6 roll (35 solo kills / roll ) = 210 solo kills
 
If 4 man team -> 840 nex kills


Posted 07 July 2022 - 02:46 AM #2

Not Magnata
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Great guide, brother! :D
Thanks for sharing.

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Posted 07 July 2022 - 07:21 AM #3

Monaco
Global Moderator

Monaco
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Nice guide, good job.



Posted 07 July 2022 - 01:38 PM #4

Zachs iron
Server Moderator

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Nice guide with an awesome breakdown.  Good job!


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Posted 07 July 2022 - 03:17 PM #5

Cigs
Extreme Donator

Cigs
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A very in-depth, detailed guide! Easy to read and comprehend as well.

 

Nice work!


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Posted 07 July 2022 - 07:14 PM #6

strudelle

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you are a beast @Real Alan, keep up the good work my friend ^^



Posted 08 July 2022 - 08:51 AM #7

Skills Pl0x

Elite Ironman

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Awesome guide - its nice having this laid out so easily and simple to understand.  Please do Cox if you make another  :lol:


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